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Increasing Productivity Growth in Middle Income Countries

Increasing Productivity Growth in Middle Income Countries »

Source: Increasing Productivity Growth in Middle Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2015/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aidar Abdychev , La-Bhus Fah Jirasavetakul , Andrew Jonelis , Lamin Leigh , Ashwin Moheeput , Friska Parulian , Ara Stepanyan , and Albert Touna Mama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 January 2015

ISBN: 9781484328439

Keywords: Growth, potential growth&;amp;#x2026;, environment, debt, productivity growth, economics, trade, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Forecasting and Simulation, One

Many small middle-income countries (SMICs) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have experienced a moderation in growth in recent years. Although factor accumulation, most notably capital deepening, was crucial to the succe...

Regional Trade Arrangements in Africa

Regional Trade Arrangements in Africa »

Source: Regional Trade Arrangements in Africa : Past Performance and the Way Forward

Volume/Issue: 2005/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yongzheng Yang , and Sanjeev Gupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2005

ISBN: 9781451860559

Keywords: Regional Trade Arrangements, regional integration, regional trade, trade liberalization, intraregional trade, Simulation Methods, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Regional trade arrangements (RTAs) in Africa have been ineffective in promoting trade and foreign direct investment. Relatively high external trade barriers and low resource complementarity between member countries...

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and  Their Discontents1

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents1 »

Source: Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents

Volume/Issue: 2013/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475519860

Keywords: Growth spillovers, macroeconomic models, international financial links, bond, bond yields, financial market, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Forecasting and Simulation,

The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting...

How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria

How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria »

Source: How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria

Volume/Issue: 2006/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ulrich Bartsch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2006

ISBN: 9781451864021

Keywords: Oil stabilization fund, Monte Carlo simulation, fiscal policy, fiscal spending, government spending, government revenue, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment

In oil-dependent countries, a major issue is how to stabilize fiscal spending when government revenue fluctuates along with the international price of oil. A stabilization fund would allow the government to pull th...

The End of Textiles Quotas

The End of Textiles Quotas »

Source: The End of Textiles Quotas : A Case Study of the Impacton Bangladesh

Volume/Issue: 2004/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Montfort Mlachila , and Yongzheng Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

ISBN: 9781451853131

Keywords: MFA, ATC, textiles, clothing, exporters, exporting countries, export performance, clothing exports, total exports, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

This paper evaluates the effects on the Bangladeshi economy of phasing out textile and clothing (T&C) quotas currently maintained by industrial countries. The planned abolition of the quotas under the Agreement on...

A New Strategy for Korea's Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment

A New Strategy for Korea's Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment »

Source: A New Strategy for Korea's Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment

Volume/Issue: 2018/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Edda Zoli , Hou Wang , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484352724

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Korea, Republic of, aging; long-term fiscal sustainability; structural reforms; potential output, aging, long-term fiscal sustainability, structural reforms, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation

Adverse demographics and other structural weaknesses impinge on Korea's long-term fiscal outlook and potential growth. Moreover, inadequate social protection is creating poverty and dampening consumption. The paper...

Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?1

Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?1 »

Source: Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?

Volume/Issue: 2011/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Jose Gijon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455266449

Keywords: Gas exporters, Energy economics, Vector autoregressions, gas prices, oil prices, gas exports, gas price, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics

We show that US natural gas prices have decoupled from oil prices following substantial institutional and technological changes. We then examine how this interrelationship has evolved in Europe using data for Alger...

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy1

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy1 »

Source: The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2015/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513509846

Keywords: Tight oil, shale oil, fracking revolution, oil price decline, oil supply, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, oil, prices, oil prices

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2...

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of S�o Tom� and Pr�ncipe

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of S�o Tom� and Pr�ncipe »

Source: Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of São Tomé and Príncipe

Volume/Issue: 2007/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alonso Segura Vasi , Walter Zarate , Gonzalo Pastor , and Ulrich Klueh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451867770

Keywords: Local content, Industrial policies, Input-Output tables, oil and gas, oil industry, oil companies, Input-Output Models, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving

This paper attempts to offer specific inputs to the debate on local content promotion in the oil industry, using the specific case of São Tomé and Príncipe as point of reference. Our approach emphasizes inter-secto...

Increasing Productivity Growth in Middle Income Countries

Increasing Productivity Growth in Middle Income Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2015/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aidar Abdychev , La-Bhus Fah Jirasavetakul , Andrew Jonelis , Lamin Leigh , Ashwin Moheeput , Friska Parulian , Ara Stepanyan , and Albert Touna Mama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 January 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484328439.001

ISBN: 9781484328439

Keywords: Growth, potential growth&;amp;#x2026;, environment, debt, productivity growth, economics, trade, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Forecasting and Simulation, One

Many small middle-income countries (SMICs) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have experienced a moderation in growth in recent years. Although factor accumulation, most notably capital deepening, was crucial to the succe...