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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Financial markets recover: IMF adapts to changing global environment to meet member countries’ needs

Financial markets recover: IMF adapts to changing global environment to meet member countries’ needs »

Source: IMF Survey Supplement 1999

Volume/Issue: 28/0

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451951059

Keywords: financial system, member countries, financial markets, world economy, macroeconomic policies

The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen...

Inflation Responses to Commodity Price Shocks

Inflation Responses to Commodity Price Shocks »

Source: Inflation Responses to Commodity Price Shocks : How and Why Do Countries Differ?

Volume/Issue: 2012/225

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): R. Gelos , and Yulia Ustyugova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2012

ISBN: 9781475510249

Keywords: pass-through, Phillips curve, central bank, inflationary impact, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance

This paper relates the inflationary impact of commodity price shocks across countries to a broad range of structural characteristics and policy frameworks over the period 2001-2010, using several approaches. The an...

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter? »

Source: Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Volume/Issue: 2011/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Weber , and Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

ISBN: 9781463902315

Keywords: coordinated fiscal exit, fiscal changes, fiscal consolidation, fiscal measure, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, And General Outlook, general Aggregative Models,

The paper assesses the impact of fiscal spillovers on growth in the context of a coordinated exit from crisis management policies. We find that despite potentially sizeable domestic effects from consolidation, aggr...

Trinidad and tobago

Trinidad and tobago »

Source: Trinidad and tobago : The Energy Boom and Proposals for a Sustainable Fiscal Policy

Volume/Issue: 2005/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2005

ISBN: 9781451862164

Keywords: oil boom, permanent income hypothesis, oil and gas, natural gas, gas production, oil prices, Macroeconomic - Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook, National Government Expenditures and Related Policies

Trinidad and Tobago is experiencing an energy boom stronger than the ones in 1970s and 1980s. The main fiscal policy challenge is to ensure that the increased revenues from the ultimately exhaustible resources are...

The Effectiveness of Macroeconomic Commitment in Weak(er) Institutional Environments

The Effectiveness of Macroeconomic Commitment in Weak(er) Institutional Environments »

Source: The Effectiveness of Macroeconomic Commitment in Weak(er) Institutional Environments

Volume/Issue: 2010/193

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marc Quintyn , and Sophia Gollwitzer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205233

Keywords: Macroeconomic Commitment Institutions, Political-Economic Institutions, inflation, central bank, monetary fund, monetary union, The Effectiveness of Macroeconomic Commitment, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development, Capitalist Systems: Political Economy, Other Economic Systems: Other

This paper analyzes the institutional conditions affecting the establishment and effectiveness of independent central banks and of budgetary institutions. It draws on the recent theory developed by North, Wallis an...

Can the Natural Resource Curse Be Turned Into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institutions1

Can the Natural Resource Curse Be Turned Into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institutions1 »

Source: Can the Natural Resource Curse Be Turned Into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institutions

Volume/Issue: 2007/55

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rabah Arezki , and Frederik van der Ploeg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2007

ISBN: 9781451866193

Keywords: Resource curse, institutions, trade policies, growth performance, income per capita, natural resource, natural resource curse, natural resource revenues, natural resources, natural resource abundance

We criticize existing empirical results on the detrimental effects of natural resource dependence on the rate of economic growth after controlling for institutional quality, openness, and initial income. These resu...

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and  Their Discontents1

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents1 »

Source: Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents

Volume/Issue: 2013/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475519860

Keywords: Growth spillovers, macroeconomic models, international financial links, bond, bond yields, financial market, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Forecasting and Simulation,

The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting...

How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria

How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria »

Source: How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of an Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria

Volume/Issue: 2006/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ulrich Bartsch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2006

ISBN: 9781451864021

Keywords: Oil stabilization fund, Monte Carlo simulation, fiscal policy, fiscal spending, government spending, government revenue, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment

In oil-dependent countries, a major issue is how to stabilize fiscal spending when government revenue fluctuates along with the international price of oil. A stabilization fund would allow the government to pull th...

Strengthening Transparency in the Oil Sector in Cameroon

Strengthening Transparency in the Oil Sector in Cameroon »

Source: Strengthening Transparency in the Oil Sector in Cameroon : Why Does it Matter?

Volume/Issue: 2006/2

Series: IMF Policy Discussion Papers

Author(s): Stéphane Cossé

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

ISBN: 9781451946123

Keywords: Cameroon, Fiscal transparency, Governance, Oil producing countries, Oil sector, Transparency, African economies, EITI, oil revenue, public expenditure

There has been a growing recognition of the importance of transparency for economic growth and social development in oil producing countries. This paper analyzes transparency issues in Cameroon's oil sector. It sho...

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of S�o Tom� and Pr�ncipe

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of S�o Tom� and Pr�ncipe »

Source: Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of São Tomé and Príncipe

Volume/Issue: 2007/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alonso Segura Vasi , Walter Zarate , Gonzalo Pastor , and Ulrich Klueh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451867770

Keywords: Local content, Industrial policies, Input-Output tables, oil and gas, oil industry, oil companies, Input-Output Models, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving

This paper attempts to offer specific inputs to the debate on local content promotion in the oil industry, using the specific case of São Tomé and Príncipe as point of reference. Our approach emphasizes inter-secto...