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Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter? »

Source: Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Volume/Issue: 2011/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Weber , and Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

ISBN: 9781463902315

Keywords: coordinated fiscal exit, fiscal changes, fiscal consolidation, fiscal measure, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, And General Outlook, general Aggregative Models,

The paper assesses the impact of fiscal spillovers on growth in the context of a coordinated exit from crisis management policies. We find that despite potentially sizeable domestic effects from consolidation, aggr...

Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?1

Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?1 »

Source: Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?

Volume/Issue: 2011/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Jose Gijon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455266449

Keywords: Gas exporters, Energy economics, Vector autoregressions, gas prices, oil prices, gas exports, gas price, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics

We show that US natural gas prices have decoupled from oil prices following substantial institutional and technological changes. We then examine how this interrelationship has evolved in Europe using data for Alger...

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and  Their Discontents1

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents1 »

Source: Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents

Volume/Issue: 2013/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475519860

Keywords: Growth spillovers, macroeconomic models, international financial links, bond, bond yields, financial market, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Forecasting and Simulation,

The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting...

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of S�o Tom� and Pr�ncipe

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of S�o Tom� and Pr�ncipe »

Source: Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of São Tomé and Príncipe

Volume/Issue: 2007/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alonso Segura Vasi , Walter Zarate , Gonzalo Pastor , and Ulrich Klueh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451867770

Keywords: Local content, Industrial policies, Input-Output tables, oil and gas, oil industry, oil companies, Input-Output Models, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving

This paper attempts to offer specific inputs to the debate on local content promotion in the oil industry, using the specific case of São Tomé and Príncipe as point of reference. Our approach emphasizes inter-secto...

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Weber , and Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902315.001

ISBN: 9781463902315

Keywords: coordinated fiscal exit, fiscal changes, fiscal consolidation, fiscal measure, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, And General Outlook, general Aggregative Models,

The paper assesses the impact of fiscal spillovers on growth in the context of a coordinated exit from crisis management policies. We find that despite potentially sizeable domestic effects from consolidation, aggr...

Portfolio Credit Risk and Macroeconomic Shocks
			: Applications to Stress Testing Under Data-Restricted Environments

Portfolio Credit Risk and Macroeconomic Shocks : Applications to Stress Testing Under Data-Restricted Environments »

Volume/Issue: 2006/283

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Miguel Segoviano Basurto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451865431.001

ISBN: 9781451865431

Keywords: Portfolio credit risk measurement, macroeconomic shock measurement, multivariate density estimation, entropy distribution, credit risk, probability, equation, probabilities, Econometric and Statistical Methods: Other, Model Evaluation and Selection

Portfolio credit risk measurement is greatly affected by data constraints, especially when focusing on loans given to unlisted firms. Standard methodologies adopt convenient, but not necessarily properly specified...

Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond?

Will Natural Gas Prices Decouple From Oil Prices Across the Pond? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Jose Gijon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455266449.001

ISBN: 9781455266449

Keywords: Gas exporters, Energy economics, Vector autoregressions, gas prices, oil prices, gas exports, gas price, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics

We show that US natural gas prices have decoupled from oil prices following substantial institutional and technological changes. We then examine how this interrelationship has evolved in Europe using data for Alger...

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and  Their Discontents

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents »

Volume/Issue: 2013/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475519860.001

ISBN: 9781475519860

Keywords: Growth spillovers, macroeconomic models, international financial links, bond, bond yields, financial market, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Forecasting and Simulation,

The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting...

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of São Tomé and Príncipe

Inter-sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond - The Case of São Tomé and Príncipe »

Volume/Issue: 2007/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alonso Segura Vasi , Walter Zarate , Gonzalo Pastor , and Ulrich Klueh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451867770.001

ISBN: 9781451867770

Keywords: Local content, Industrial policies, Input-Output tables, oil and gas, oil industry, oil companies, Input-Output Models, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving

This paper attempts to offer specific inputs to the debate on local content promotion in the oil industry, using the specific case of São Tomé and Príncipe as point of reference. Our approach emphasizes inter-secto...