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Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment »

Volume/Issue: 2020/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruoyun Mao , and Shu-Chun Susan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513546797.001

ISBN: 9781513546797

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Real interest rates, Business cycles, Economic sectors, government spending effects, fiscal multiplier, regime-switching policy, monetary and fiscal policy interaction, nonlinear New Keynesian models

The theoretical literature generally finds that government spending multipliers are bigger than unity in a low interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, we show that such big multiplie...

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region »

Volume/Issue: 2020/1

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Tokhir Mirzoev , Ling Zhu , Yang Yang , Tian Zhang , Erik Roos , Andrea Pescatori , and Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2020

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513525938.087

ISBN: 9781513525938

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Oil exporting countries, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Oil prices, Oil revenues, Supply and demand, Producer prices, Public financial management, Oil-exporting countries, DPPP

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region...

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region »

Volume/Issue: 2020/1

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Tokhir Mirzoev , Ling Zhu , Yang Yang , Tian Zhang , Erik Roos , Andrea Pescatori , and Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513525907.087

ISBN: 9781513525907

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Oil exporting countries, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Oil prices, Oil revenues, Supply and demand, Producer prices, Public financial management, Oil-exporting countries, DPPP

The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing the world gradually moving away fro...

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus »

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513516097.001

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...