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Benchmark Priors Revisited

Benchmark Priors Revisited »

Source: Benchmark Priors Revisited : On Adaptive Shrinkage and the Supermodel Effect in Bayesian Model Averaging

Volume/Issue: 2009/202

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Feldkircher , and Stefan Zeugner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873498

Keywords: Bayesian model averaging, hyper-g prior, shrinkage factor, Zellner&;amp;#x2019;s g prior, model uncertainty, growth econometrics, noise, probabilities, statistics, bayes factor

Default prior choices fixing Zellner's g are predominant in the Bayesian Model Averaging literature, but tend to concentrate posterior mass on a tiny set of models. The paper demonstrates this supermodel effect and...

Benchmark Priors Revisited
			: On Adaptive Shrinkage and the Supermodel Effect in Bayesian Model Averaging

Benchmark Priors Revisited : On Adaptive Shrinkage and the Supermodel Effect in Bayesian Model Averaging »

Volume/Issue: 2009/202

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Feldkircher , and Stefan Zeugner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873498.001

ISBN: 9781451873498

Keywords: Bayesian model averaging, hyper-g prior, shrinkage factor, Zellner&;amp;#x2019;s g prior, model uncertainty, growth econometrics, noise, probabilities, statistics, bayes factor

Default prior choices fixing Zellner's g are predominant in the Bayesian Model Averaging literature, but tend to concentrate posterior mass on a tiny set of models. The paper demonstrates this supermodel effect and...

Modeling Macro-Critical Energy Sectors in Low-Income Countries
			: A General Framework and an Application to Côte d'Ivoire

Modeling Macro-Critical Energy Sectors in Low-Income Countries : A General Framework and an Application to Côte d'Ivoire »

Volume/Issue: 2008/156

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Holger Fabig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870145.001

ISBN: 9781451870145

Keywords: Energy sector modeling, low-income countries, hydrocarbon production, petroleum products, C&;amp;#x00F4;te d&;amp;#x2019;Ivoire, crude oil, gas production, oil and gas,

This paper proposes a general framework for monitoring macro-critical energy sectors in low-income countries, defined as consisting of the three subsectors of crude oil and natural gas production, refinery, and ele...

Modeling Macro-Critical Energy Sectors in Low-Income Countries

Modeling Macro-Critical Energy Sectors in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Modeling Macro-Critical Energy Sectors in Low-Income Countries : A General Framework and an Application to Côte d'Ivoire

Volume/Issue: 2008/156

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Holger Fabig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2008

ISBN: 9781451870145

Keywords: Energy sector modeling, low-income countries, hydrocarbon production, petroleum products, C&;amp;#x00F4;te d&;amp;#x2019;Ivoire, crude oil, gas production, oil and gas,

This paper proposes a general framework for monitoring macro-critical energy sectors in low-income countries, defined as consisting of the three subsectors of crude oil and natural gas production, refinery, and ele...