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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

CHAPTER 1 Overview

CHAPTER 1 Overview »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

The East African Community (EAC) countries—Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and Rwanda—have been affected by the global financial crisis and global recession. 1 The fall in global demand...

CHAPTER 2 The Current Slowdown and the Role of Spillover Effects

CHAPTER 2 The Current Slowdown and the Role of Spillover Effects »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

Explaining the Current Slowdown: Shocks and Channels Historically, EAC growth has closely tracked global real GDP growth (Figure 1 and Appendix Figures 1a and 1b). Even though growth...

CHAPTER 3 How Have Countries Responded to the Shocks?

CHAPTER 3 How Have Countries Responded to the Shocks? »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy Monetary and exchange rate developments have generally reflected the shocks in trade and capital flows in the region. While policy responses differe...

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth?

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth? »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

Spillover Effects in the Recovery To what extent will a change in the global environment lead to a recovery, and how quickly? The global economy would seem to be on its way to provid...

Multinational Enterprises, International Trade, and Productivity Growth
			: Firm-Level Evidence From the United States

Multinational Enterprises, International Trade, and Productivity Growth : Firm-Level Evidence From the United States »

Volume/Issue: 2003/248

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stephen Yeaple , and Wolfgang Keller

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875898.001

ISBN: 9781451875898

Keywords: technology spillovers, fdi, spillovers, direct investment,

We estimate international technology spillovers to U.S. manufacturing firms via imports and foreign direct investment (FDI) between 1987 and 1996. In contrast to earlier work, our results suggest that FDI leads to...

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

The East African Community (EAC) countries—Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and Rwanda—have been affected by the global financial crisis and global recession. The fall in global demand and inflows and tighter...

Asian Flu or Wall Street Virus? Price and Volatility Spillovers of the Tech and Non-Tech Sectors in the United States and Asia

Asian Flu or Wall Street Virus? Price and Volatility Spillovers of the Tech and Non-Tech Sectors in the United States and Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2002/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , and Iryna Ivaschenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451857245.001

ISBN: 9781451857245

Keywords: Price spillovers, volatility spillovers, asymmetric GARCH models, spillovers, stock market, stock returns, stock price,

This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility spillovers to stock markets in the Asian region during three different periods in the last decade: th...

United States
			: Selected Issues

United States : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2007/265

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451839692.002

ISBN: 9781451839692

Keywords: spillovers, industrial countries, international monetary fund, interest rates

The size and sources of international spillovers of activity remain subject to significant uncertainty. This Selected Issues paper uses a new approach to differentiating these effects using disturbances to a divers...

Three Cycles
			: Housing, Credit, and Real Activity

Three Cycles : Housing, Credit, and Real Activity »

Volume/Issue: 2009/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa , Alain Kabundi , Deniz Igan , Francisco Nadal De Simone , and Marcelo Pinheiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873788.001

ISBN: 9781451873788

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, house prices, business cycle, lead, spillovers,

We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House pric...

Euro Area Policies
			: Spillover Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation and Selected Issues

Euro Area Policies : Spillover Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation and Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2011/185

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 July 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462339549.002

ISBN: 9781462339549

Keywords: spillovers, bond, financial markets, financial market, financial sector, Euro Area Policies:,

The euro area (EA) plays a major role in the global economy. Market perceptions of events in the EA program countries illustrate the possibility of large spillovers from the area in times of stress. The prospect of...