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Stochastic Volatilities and Correlations, Extreme Values and Modeling the Macroeconomic Environment, Under Which Brazilian Banks Operate

Stochastic Volatilities and Correlations, Extreme Values and Modeling the Macroeconomic Environment, Under Which Brazilian Banks Operate »

Source: Stochastic Volatilities and Correlations, Extreme Values and Modeling the Macroeconomic Environment, Under Which Brazilian Banks Operate

Volume/Issue: 2007/290

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcos Souto , and Theodore Barnhill

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2007

ISBN: 9781451868531

Keywords: stochastic volatility, fat-tail distributions, Monte Carlo estimation, covariances, time series, probability, probabilities, multivariate stochastic volatility,

Using monthly data for a set of variables, we examine the out-of-sample performance of various variance/covariance models and find that no model has consistently outperformed the others. We also show that it is pos...

Stochastic Volatilities and Correlations, Extreme Values and Modeling the Macroeconomic Environment, Under Which Brazilian Banks Operate

Stochastic Volatilities and Correlations, Extreme Values and Modeling the Macroeconomic Environment, Under Which Brazilian Banks Operate »

Volume/Issue: 2007/290

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcos Souto , and Theodore Barnhill

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451868531.001

ISBN: 9781451868531

Keywords: stochastic volatility, fat-tail distributions, Monte Carlo estimation, covariances, time series, probability, probabilities, multivariate stochastic volatility,

Using monthly data for a set of variables, we examine the out-of-sample performance of various variance/covariance models and find that no model has consistently outperformed the others. We also show that it is pos...

Chapter 9. A Practitioner’s Narrative of Brazil’s Industrialization and the Role of the Brazilian Development Bank

Chapter 9. A Practitioner’s Narrative of Brazil’s Industrialization and the Role of the Brazilian Development Bank »

Source: Breaking the Oil Spell : The Gulf Falcons' Path to Diversification

Series: Books

Author(s): Reda Cherif , Fuad Hasanov , and Min Zhu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 April 2016

ISBN: 9781513537863

Keywords: Export diversification, Nonoil sector, Oil exporting countries, Economic development, environment, development, oil, capital, industry, Gulf Falcons,

Development, as economists say, is path dependent. That is, it is based on the context of individual countries and is historically determined. This chapter adopts a very pragmatic approach to this issue—from...

Forests for Growth: Forests are a key asset for climate stability; Brazil has shown protecting them is compatible with development

Forests for Growth: Forests are a key asset for climate stability; Brazil has shown protecting them is compatible with development »

Source: Finance and Development, March 2017

Volume/Issue: 54/1

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2017

ISBN: 9781475577150

Keywords: Finance and Development

This paper reports about current mainstream growth projections for the United States and the European Union over the medium term represent a marked slowdown from growth rates in the decades prior to the global fina...

Winning the Oil Lottery

Winning the Oil Lottery »

Source: Winning the Oil Lottery : The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth

Volume/Issue: 2016/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tiago Cavalcanti , Daniel Da Mata , and Frederik Toscani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 March 2016

ISBN: 9781513587752

Keywords: Oil and Gas, Urbanization, oil, drilling, oil discoveries, oil production, gas, General, All Countries,

This paper provides evidence of the causal impact of oil discoveries on development. Novel data on the drilling of 20,000 oil wells in Brazil allows us to exploit a quasi-experiment: Municipalities where oil was di...

Köhler sees enormous potential for global growth

Köhler sees enormous potential for global growth »

Source: IMF Survey, Volume 32, Issue 05

Volume/Issue: 32/5

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451935233

Keywords: oil prices, oil sector, exchange rate, fiscal policy, real exchange

Russia's unexpectedly strong recovery since its 1998 crisis has left people wondering whether it is just a temporary result of higher oil prices and the postcrisis depreciation of the ruble or a sign ofdurable impr...

Recent Activity–International bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Development Association, and International Finance Corporation

Recent Activity–International bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Development Association, and International Finance Corporation »

Source: Finance & Development, December 1972

Volume/Issue: 9/4

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1972

ISBN: 9781616353100

Keywords: pollution, population growth, population problem, demographers, world population

This paper describes what the limits to growth are. The paper highlights that many critical variables in global society-particularly population and industrial production-have been growing at a constant percentage r...

Summary of WP/92/83

Summary of WP/92/83 »

Source: Working Paper Summaries (WP/92/49 - WP/92/112)

Volume/Issue: 1993/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1993

ISBN: 9781451841961

Keywords: environmental externalities, paper, environmental effects, environment

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, inclu...

Financial markets recover: IMF adapts to changing global environment to meet member countries’ needs

Financial markets recover: IMF adapts to changing global environment to meet member countries’ needs »

Source: IMF Survey Supplement 1999

Volume/Issue: 28/0

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451951059

Keywords: financial system, member countries, financial markets, world economy, macroeconomic policies

The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen...

Global slowdown: With new senior-level team in place, the IMF takes on challenges of difficult economic climate

Global slowdown: With new senior-level team in place, the IMF takes on challenges of difficult economic climate »

Source: IMF Survey Supplement 2001

Volume/Issue: 30/1

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2001

ISBN: 9781451951103

Keywords: capital markets, international capital, member countries, international capital markets, balance of payments

The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen...